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IT risk assessment matrix

Enter the IT risks you are worried about, give each a likelihood and an impact from 1 to 4, and this worksheet will score them, plot them on a 4 × 4 matrix, rank them, suggest which kind of treatment to look at first, and produce a summary you can paste into your own risk register.

What a score here means. It is a working estimate calculated from the numbers you type in. It is not a certification, a formal audit, an attestation or evidence of compliance, and it does not measure, scan or test any real system. Your data stays in your browser: nothing is sent anywhere and nothing is stored, so refreshing the page clears the worksheet. Copy the summary before you leave.

Enter your risks

How the score works

Each risk gets a likelihood and an impact, each an integer from 1 to 4. The score is the two multiplied together. The score is banded, and risks are ranked by score. These are the written-out definitions; replace the impact anchors with thresholds that match your own organisation before relying on any result.

LikelihoodLabelDefinition (state your horizon, for example twelve months)
1UnlikelyWould need several independent controls to fail or an unusual combination of circumstances. No near miss in your own history.
2PossibleCould plausibly happen. Has happened to comparable organisations or you have had a near miss, and at least one effective control is in place.
3LikelyExpected at least once in the horizon given current controls, or the control is known to be weak or inconsistently applied.
4Almost certainHappening now, recurring, or the exposure is open and known with no effective control.
ImpactLabelExample anchors (replace with your own)
1MinorAbsorbed in normal operations. A workaround exists. No customer, regulator or contractual consequence.
2ModerateA service is degraded or unavailable for part of a working day. Internal rework. Limited exposure of internal data.
3MajorA critical service is down for days, or an obligation is breached, or customers’ personal data is exposed. Visible to customers.
4SevereProlonged loss of a critical service, unrecoverable data loss, or consequences that threaten a major contract, a licence or the organisation’s viability.
ScoreBandReached by (likelihood x impact)
1 to 3Low1×1, 1×2, 1×3, 2×1, 3×1
4 to 6Medium1×4, 2×2, 2×3, 3×2, 4×1
8 to 9High2×4, 3×3, 4×2
12 to 16Critical3×4, 4×3, 4×4

Multiplying ordinal scores has known weaknesses: different risks can share a score, and risks cluster at a few values. The risk scoring guide explains these and how to work around them, which is why the table above shows both factors and not just the score.

How treatment suggestions are chosen

The suggestions follow fixed rules, so you can disagree with them precisely. A risk is impact-led when impact exceeds likelihood, likelihood-led when the reverse, and balanced when they are equal.

BandExamine firstOther options listed
CriticalMitigateAvoid; transfer. Accept is not suggested without an explicit decision by someone with authority over the risk.
HighMitigateTransfer when impact is 3 or more; avoid when likelihood is 3 or more.
Medium, impact-ledTransferMitigate; accept.
Medium, likelihood-ledMitigateAccept.
Medium, balancedAcceptMitigate.
LowAcceptMitigate if cheap.

The risk treatment guide explains each option and how to record the decision and the residual risk. The treatment threshold you choose above only controls which rows are flagged “at or above threshold”; it does not change any score.

What this tool is not

  • It is not an assessment of your systems. It never looks at them.
  • It is not a certification, a formal audit, an attestation or evidence of compliance with any framework, and it carries no endorsement from any standards body or framework owner.
  • It does not replace judgement: the output is only as good as the likelihood and impact values you give it.
  • It does not save your data. Copy the summary or the table before leaving the page.

To go further, read about building a risk register that these entries can live in, and about reporting the results to a board.